Atul Goyal — Senior Analyst, Jefferies (1 trade idea)

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Date Ticker Direction Thesis Source
Feb 13, 2026 AVOID SoftBank's valuation uplift is almost entirely driven by its investment in OpenAI. Goyal notes, "Risk is essentially centered around OpenAI... circular financing concerns... buying Nvidia and others increasing Arm's [value]." The analyst highlights a "circular" risk where SoftBank invests in OpenAI, which buys chips, which boosts Nvidia, which boosts Arm (owned by SoftBank). If OpenAI's valuation falters or competition (Google/Meta) erodes its lead, the entire valuation loop for SoftBank collapses. AVOID. The stock is a leveraged bet on a single private asset (OpenAI) with opaque valuation metrics. OpenAI successfully dominates AGI, driving SoftBank stock significantly higher. Bloomberg Markets
AI Angst Rocks Asia Markets | The Asia Trade ...